Thursday, July 06, 2006
FINANCIAL TIMES
Delay revives memories of poll fraud
By Richard Lapper and Adam Thomson in Mexico City
Published: July 3 2006 18:41 | Last updated: July 3 2006 18:41, Financial Times
Financial markets on Monday began to celebrate what appeared to be a small but definite advantage for Felipe Calderón, the centre-right candidate in Mexico's presidential election. But the mood in Chapultepec market in central Mexico City was considerably less optimistic.
From behind a steaming pot filled with cuts of beef, Angelica Sánchez said she was deeply suspicious of the previous night's events when Mexico's electoral authorities unexpectedly postponed the official result until at least Wednesday.
On Sunday both Mr Calderón and Andrés Manuel López Obrador, the leftwing candidate supported by Ms Sánchez, claimed victory even though the Federal Electoral Institute (IFE)
"They [IFE] said they would tell us by 11 o'clock on Sunday. It makes you think why," she said. "There is no doubt in my mind that López Obrador won."
Many López Obrador supporters, who are more likely to come from the poorest and most socially excluded areas of the country, agree.
Mexico, which for more than 70 consecutive years was dominated by the Institutional Revolutionary party (PRI), has a history of electoral fraud. And as recently as 1988, Mr López Obrador's party was denied victory after official computers mysteriously crashed.
On Sunday night, those memories resurfaced when Mr López Obrador appeared to question the IFE's decision to postpone the result. Claiming that his own party's figures confirmed his victory, he said: "This result is irreversible . . . we have won."
Moments later in the city's main square, Mr López Obrador told thousands of cheering supporters: "I deeply regret that the IFE has not given the result . . . It has to respect our triumph."
On Monday morning, the IFE's provisional figures suggested the result was tipping in favour of the business-friendly Mr Calderón who, like his leftwing rival, had been quick to proclaim victory.
With about 95 per cent of the vote counted, Mr Calderón led by about 400,000 votes or about 1 per cent of the votes cast. That is still too small to make his victory a certainty, and the IFE insists it will not declare a winner until a full manual count is completed - probably late this week.
On Monday morning, Mr López Obrador stopped short of calling for mass protests. But he left open the possibility of challenging any decision against him in the courts. "If we have any proof that shows the contrary [of the IFE's decision] we will make it count," he said.
On the streets of Mexico City, many people lamented the candidates' reactions, insisting they should have respected the IFE's decision to wait, and said their proclamations of victory could spell trouble ahead.
Brenda Gutierrez, a 22-year-old hotel employee in the upmarket Polanco district, said: "If Calderón wins, López Obrador's supporters are going to react strongly. The candidates should have waited."
Patricia Avila, who sells make-up on an improvised street stall in central Mexico City, agreed. "There are a lot of people with López Obrador and they are going be very upset if their candidate loses."
But in spite of many Mexicans' concerns about possible strikes and instability, investors were more upbeat about the outcome, which they now expect to tip clearly in Mr Calderón's favour, and played down any threats of instability.
Damian Fraser, head of Latin American strategy at UBS Investment in Mexico City, did not rule out the possibility that Mr López Obrador would challenge any decision against him in Mexico's courts. But he also suggested he would think twice before going further.
"He risks jeopardising much of the support he has built up over the years. He has achieved a lot without winning and his party will not want to throw that away. I think he will stop short of trying to provoke outright governability."
Indeed, according to preliminary results, Mr López Obrador's PRD party stands significantly to increase its presence in Congress. IFE figures suggest that it will win about 170 seats in the lower house compared with about 110 at present.
But the clearest winner looks set to be the ruling PAN, which stands to gain as many as 205 seats, 55 more than it currently controls. By contrast, the PRI, which until now has dominated both houses, could lose more than 100 seats.
In spite of Mr Fraser's optimism, however, some Mexicans remained sceptical about the immediate future. With cleaver in hand, Abel Vazquez, a chef at a local taco stand, said the whole episode on Sunday was regrettable. "Whoever wins now is not going to have the confidence of the population," he said.
By Richard Lapper and Adam Thomson in Mexico City
Published: July 3 2006 18:41 | Last updated: July 3 2006 18:41, Financial Times
Financial markets on Monday began to celebrate what appeared to be a small but definite advantage for Felipe Calderón, the centre-right candidate in Mexico's presidential election. But the mood in Chapultepec market in central Mexico City was considerably less optimistic.
From behind a steaming pot filled with cuts of beef, Angelica Sánchez said she was deeply suspicious of the previous night's events when Mexico's electoral authorities unexpectedly postponed the official result until at least Wednesday.
On Sunday both Mr Calderón and Andrés Manuel López Obrador, the leftwing candidate supported by Ms Sánchez, claimed victory even though the Federal Electoral Institute (IFE)
"They [IFE] said they would tell us by 11 o'clock on Sunday. It makes you think why," she said. "There is no doubt in my mind that López Obrador won."
Many López Obrador supporters, who are more likely to come from the poorest and most socially excluded areas of the country, agree.
Mexico, which for more than 70 consecutive years was dominated by the Institutional Revolutionary party (PRI), has a history of electoral fraud. And as recently as 1988, Mr López Obrador's party was denied victory after official computers mysteriously crashed.
On Sunday night,
Moments later in the city's main square, Mr López Obrador told thousands of cheering supporters: "I deeply regret that the IFE has not given the result . . . It has to respect our triumph."
On Monday morning, the IFE's provisional figures suggested the result was tipping in favour of the business-friendly Mr Calderón who, like his leftwing rival, had been quick to proclaim victory.
With about 95 per cent of the vote counted, Mr Calderón led by about 400,000 votes or about 1 per cent of the votes cast. That is still too small to make his victory a certainty, and the IFE insists it will not declare a winner until a full manual count is completed - probably late this week.
On Monday morning, Mr López Obrador stopped short of calling for mass protests. But he left open the possibility of challenging any decision against him in the courts. "If we have any proof that shows the contrary [of the IFE's decision] we will make it count," he said.
On the streets of Mexico City, many people lamented the candidates' reactions, insisting they should have respected the IFE's decision to wait, and said their proclamations of victory could spell trouble ahead.
Brenda Gutierrez, a 22-year-old hotel employee in the upmarket Polanco district, said: "If Calderón wins, López Obrador's supporters are going to react strongly. The candidates should have waited."
Patricia Avila, who sells make-up on an improvised street stall in central Mexico City, agreed. "There are a lot of people with López Obrador and they are going be very upset if their candidate loses."
But in spite of many Mexicans' concerns about possible strikes and instability, investors were more upbeat about the outcome, which they now expect to tip clearly in Mr Calderón's favour, and played down any threats of instability.
Damian Fraser, head of Latin American strategy at UBS Investment in Mexico City, did not rule out the possibility that Mr López Obrador would challenge any decision against him in Mexico's courts. But he also suggested he would think twice before going further.
"He risks jeopardising much of the support he has built up over the years. He has achieved a lot without winning and his party will not want to throw that away. I think he will stop short of trying to provoke outright governability."
Indeed, according to preliminary results, Mr López Obrador's PRD party stands significantly to increase its presence in Congress. IFE figures suggest that it will win about 170 seats in the lower house compared with about 110 at present.
But the clearest winner looks set to be the ruling PAN, which stands to gain as many as 205 seats, 55 more than it currently controls. By contrast, the PRI, which until now has dominated both houses, could lose more than 100 seats.
In spite of Mr Fraser's optimism, however, some Mexicans remained sceptical about the immediate future. With cleaver in hand, Abel Vazquez, a chef at a local taco stand, said the whole episode on Sunday was regrettable. "Whoever wins now is not going to have the confidence of the population," he said.
# posted by Nancy T. @ 10:20 PM 
Comments:
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SPAMMER!!!!!!!
(En nombre de Jose Manuel posteo)
¡¡¡ BASTA POR FAVOR!!!
Esto ya es un exceso. Es UNA FALTA DE RESPETO TOTAL. ¿Le preguntaste a todas
las personas a quienes envías correos A DIARIO si en verdad deseaban
recibirlos? ¿Sabes lo que significa el derecho a la intimidad? ¿A la
PRIVACIDAD? ¿Sabes que una CUENTA DE CORREO electrónico es algo PERSONAL?
¿De verdad crees tú que al director de un periódico, al articulista, al
periodista, al que lee los mails de un noticiario, al ciudadano común le
haces un favor enviando este tipo de correos?
Soy una persona que cree en los valores de izquierda, si dentro de este
concepto se incluyen la equidad, la igualdad y la justicia social, firmé una
carta (como muchos otros) apoyando una denuncia por los indignantes hechos
ocurridos en Atenco. Me indigna la pobreza, la desigualdad, las muertas de
Juárez, los indígenas que viven en el abandono, me preocupa el rumbo "sin
rumbo" de este país... pero definitivamente estoy HASTA EL GORRO de recibir
este tipo de correos tuyos y dudo que sea yo el único. He enviado correos
solicitando que me saquen de esta inmensa lista de distribución pero no he
sido escuchado.
Ah! y antes de que me catalogues... Ni soy del Yunque, ni estoy en contra
del aborto, ni soy banquero, ni beneficiario del FOBAPROA, ni mocho, ni
conservador, ni priísta, ni yuppie neoliberal... NO me agrada Calderón NI me
convence Andrés Manuel, creo que tan malo el giro como el colorado y a los
dos les queda inmenso el puesto... Pero sinceramente te digo que correos
como los tuyos lejos de ayudar, dividen. Lejos de construir, destruyen.
Tenemos un país ya de por sí partido en dos, no nos empeñemos en dividirlo
más, aceptemos al que gane, sea quien sea, agotando absolutamente todas las
instancias legales que procedan, y eso sí, EXIJÁMOSLE AL QUE GANE (incluido
su Gabinete, y los legilsadores) que se ponga a chambear porque el 64% de
los electores NO habremos votado por ellos.
Ah! Y de pilón Eva, LAS COSAS NO SON COMO EN EL 1988 cuando muchos de los
rateros que hoy gritan "¡Ladrón!" estaban del otro lado cometiendo el FRAUDE
ELECTORAL que todos conocemos.... LA DEMOCRACIA EN MEXICO ES HOY UNA
REALIDAD gracias a una lucha incansable que costó sudor, lágrimas y vidas
de miles de personas incluidos militantes comunistas, estudiantes, panistas,
perredistas y demás luchadores a lo largo de la historia de nuestro país...
Sobra pedir, por enésima vez, QUE ME SAQUEN DE ESTA LISTA DE DISTRIBUCIÓN
YA.
ATENTAMENTE,
José Manuel Azpiroz
PD. Si llegaron a leer hasta el final, una disculpa a todos a quienes no
conozco y no les interesaba recibir este correo, pero lo recibieron. Lo
siento, pero este correo viene siendo algo así como un "último recurso" de
una "bandeja de entrada" totalmente desesperada.
On 7/3/06, Eva Trigueros wrote:
>
> *MEXICO GANO *
>
> * *
>
> *NUESTRO PRESIDENTE ES YA ANDRES MANUEL LOPEZ OBRADOR*
>
> * *
>
> * *
>
> *FELICIDADES A TODOS LOS MEXICANOS *
>
> * *
>
> * *
>
> *De acuerdo a cifras de fuentes confiables el candidato del PRD gana con
> cinco puntos de diferencia. El IFE esta tratando de diluir la informacion y
> mantenernos en el engano hasta el Miercoles. *
>
> * *
>
> *FESTEJEMOS MANANA 03 DE Julio de 2006 EN TODOS LOS CONSULADOS *
>
> *EL TRIUNFO DE ANDRES MANUEL LOPEZ OBRADOR *
>
>
> --
> Eva Nancy Trigueros/Promotor
> MEXICO ESCUCHA
> http://www.mexicoescucha.blogspot.com/
> trabajadoresinternacionales@gmail.com
Post a Comment
(En nombre de Jose Manuel posteo)
¡¡¡ BASTA POR FAVOR!!!
Esto ya es un exceso. Es UNA FALTA DE RESPETO TOTAL. ¿Le preguntaste a todas
las personas a quienes envías correos A DIARIO si en verdad deseaban
recibirlos? ¿Sabes lo que significa el derecho a la intimidad? ¿A la
PRIVACIDAD? ¿Sabes que una CUENTA DE CORREO electrónico es algo PERSONAL?
¿De verdad crees tú que al director de un periódico, al articulista, al
periodista, al que lee los mails de un noticiario, al ciudadano común le
haces un favor enviando este tipo de correos?
Soy una persona que cree en los valores de izquierda, si dentro de este
concepto se incluyen la equidad, la igualdad y la justicia social, firmé una
carta (como muchos otros) apoyando una denuncia por los indignantes hechos
ocurridos en Atenco. Me indigna la pobreza, la desigualdad, las muertas de
Juárez, los indígenas que viven en el abandono, me preocupa el rumbo "sin
rumbo" de este país... pero definitivamente estoy HASTA EL GORRO de recibir
este tipo de correos tuyos y dudo que sea yo el único. He enviado correos
solicitando que me saquen de esta inmensa lista de distribución pero no he
sido escuchado.
Ah! y antes de que me catalogues... Ni soy del Yunque, ni estoy en contra
del aborto, ni soy banquero, ni beneficiario del FOBAPROA, ni mocho, ni
conservador, ni priísta, ni yuppie neoliberal... NO me agrada Calderón NI me
convence Andrés Manuel, creo que tan malo el giro como el colorado y a los
dos les queda inmenso el puesto... Pero sinceramente te digo que correos
como los tuyos lejos de ayudar, dividen. Lejos de construir, destruyen.
Tenemos un país ya de por sí partido en dos, no nos empeñemos en dividirlo
más, aceptemos al que gane, sea quien sea, agotando absolutamente todas las
instancias legales que procedan, y eso sí, EXIJÁMOSLE AL QUE GANE (incluido
su Gabinete, y los legilsadores) que se ponga a chambear porque el 64% de
los electores NO habremos votado por ellos.
Ah! Y de pilón Eva, LAS COSAS NO SON COMO EN EL 1988 cuando muchos de los
rateros que hoy gritan "¡Ladrón!" estaban del otro lado cometiendo el FRAUDE
ELECTORAL que todos conocemos.... LA DEMOCRACIA EN MEXICO ES HOY UNA
REALIDAD gracias a una lucha incansable que costó sudor, lágrimas y vidas
de miles de personas incluidos militantes comunistas, estudiantes, panistas,
perredistas y demás luchadores a lo largo de la historia de nuestro país...
Sobra pedir, por enésima vez, QUE ME SAQUEN DE ESTA LISTA DE DISTRIBUCIÓN
YA.
ATENTAMENTE,
José Manuel Azpiroz
PD. Si llegaron a leer hasta el final, una disculpa a todos a quienes no
conozco y no les interesaba recibir este correo, pero lo recibieron. Lo
siento, pero este correo viene siendo algo así como un "último recurso" de
una "bandeja de entrada" totalmente desesperada.
On 7/3/06, Eva Trigueros wrote:
>
> *MEXICO GANO *
>
> * *
>
> *NUESTRO PRESIDENTE ES YA ANDRES MANUEL LOPEZ OBRADOR*
>
> * *
>
> * *
>
> *FELICIDADES A TODOS LOS MEXICANOS *
>
> * *
>
> * *
>
> *De acuerdo a cifras de fuentes confiables el candidato del PRD gana con
> cinco puntos de diferencia. El IFE esta tratando de diluir la informacion y
> mantenernos en el engano hasta el Miercoles. *
>
> * *
>
> *FESTEJEMOS MANANA 03 DE Julio de 2006 EN TODOS LOS CONSULADOS *
>
> *EL TRIUNFO DE ANDRES MANUEL LOPEZ OBRADOR *
>
>
> --
> Eva Nancy Trigueros/Promotor
> MEXICO ESCUCHA
> http://www.mexicoescucha.blogspot.com/
> trabajadoresinternacionales@gmail.com
<< Home
